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Red123
324530.7
320032.8
300614.0
Blue152
62465.3
243723.0
299638.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3276050100150200123152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.86.9
12.719.6
Auto0.3
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 32.5
624
#1
65.34.9
37.642.5
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
Second
3245
#11
30.76.9
17.924.9
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 7.3
38.06.7
22.429.1
Auto0.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Third
3006
#53
14.06.9
9.116.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 9.1
2437
#13
23.06.7
11.518.2
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0