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Red4
433419.3
431011.6
43487.5
Blue8
479214.3
320032.8
459815.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318005010015020048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#49
19.32.4
15.713.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 13.6
32.84.5
36.131.6
Auto0.3
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
4310
#48
11.62.4
13.911.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4598
#39
15.64.5
20.015.6
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4348
#51
7.52.4
9.97.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
4792
#38
14.34.5
18.714.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0