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Red67
299638.0
534616.8
324530.7
Blue73
316624.3
133922.7
11518.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915401502006773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.5
40.439.0
Auto0.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 13.7
3166
#15
24.30.8
22.723.5
Auto0.6
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
3245
#11
30.71.5
30.228.7
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 8.0
1339
#28
22.70.8
21.121.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
5346
#26
16.81.5
18.216.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
115
#35
18.30.8
17.618.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0