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Red42
322513.4
62465.3
248418.6
Blue13
417514.2
183623.9
415310.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112350501502002504213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.33.1
63.660.5
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 41.4
1836
#37
23.91.5
19.418.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
2484
#24
18.64.1
22.718.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 4.4
4175
#44
14.21.9
16.214.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
3225
#21
13.44.1
17.513.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 2.7
4153
#52
10.61.9
12.610.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0