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Red76
515924.1
321612.1
133220.3
Blue69
243723.0
548924.2
507117.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486001001502007669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5159
#25
24.11.6
22.524.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5489
#16
24.21.4
22.824.2
Auto0.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
1332
#36
20.31.6
18.720.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2437
#13
23.01.4
21.623.0
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
3216
#45
12.11.6
10.512.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5071
#34
17.41.4
16.017.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0