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Semifinal pool 42015 Utah Regional
Red202
161962.5
62465.3
433419.3
Blue157
323048.4
212251.2
340513.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13994050200250300202157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.31.1
62.4→63.5
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 14.1
2122
#3
51.21.1
48.2→49.3
Auto0.1
Teleop51.0
End0.0
Second
1619
#2
62.51.3
58.9→60.3
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 14.1
3230
#5
48.41.1
45.4→46.5
Auto0.5
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
4334
#49
19.31.3
15.7→17.1
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
3405
#47
13.61.1
10.7→11.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0