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Final 22015 Virginia Regional
Red120
236326.7
38437.2
161022.3
Blue109
448131.2
54030.4
108621.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7877708090100110120120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
37.20.9
35.3→36.3
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 6.0
4481
#6
31.20.7
30.3→31.0
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Second
2363
#32
26.70.9
24.8→25.8
Auto1.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 3.7
540
#4
30.40.7
29.5→30.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
1610
#36
22.30.9
20.4→21.4
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 1.0
1086
#34
21.40.7
20.4→21.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0