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Quarterfinal pool 72015 Virginia Regional
Red106
236326.7
38437.2
161022.3
Blue70
38813.8
307219.6
393919.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6946020608010012014016010670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
37.20.9
31.3→32.2
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 17.6
3072
#12
19.60.4
19.2→19.6
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
2363
#32
26.70.9
20.8→21.7
Auto1.4
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 7.6
3939
#20
19.20.5
18.7→19.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
1610
#36
22.30.9
16.4→17.3
Auto2.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
388
#41
13.80.5
13.4→13.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0