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Qual 12015 Virginia Regional
Red46
34621.9
179315.7
307219.6
Blue0
190815.2
171912.1
54259.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39300206080100460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#21
21.90.5
19.4→19.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 6.7
1908
#31
15.22.2
11.0→8.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
3072
#12
19.60.6
10.4→11.0
Auto0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 7.5
1719
#49
12.12.2
13.2→10.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
1793
#27
15.70.6
9.1→9.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 6.0
5425
#33
9.83.4
9.8→6.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0