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Qual 122015 Virginia Regional
Red42
448131.2
38813.8
24026.2
Blue42
10957.4
348919.2
61110.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28350501001502002504242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#6
31.21.0
11.7→12.7
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 12.0
3489
#14
19.20.4
14.6→15.0
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
388
#41
13.81.0
10.8→11.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 3.1
611
#55
10.70.5
10.4→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
2402
#56
6.21.0
7.4→8.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1095
#58
7.40.5
10.5→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0