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Qual 282015 Virginia Regional
Red33
10957.4
152221.6
37098.9
Blue8
32749.5
38728.1
175817.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292601020405060338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1522
#13
21.60.3
13.3→13.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 4.3
1758
#24
17.21.1
14.8→13.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
3709
#43
8.90.3
5.3→5.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3274
#51
9.51.6
4.4→2.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
1095
#58
7.40.3
11.0→11.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3872
#46
8.11.6
7.9→6.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.1
End0.0