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Red50
34224.9
154111.3
15996.8
Blue40
12217.6
313610.3
179315.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482204060801001201405040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#8
24.90.2
25.725.9
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
122
#15
17.61.1
11.712.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
1541
#57
11.30.3
11.211.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
1793
#27
15.71.1
8.29.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
1599
#54
6.80.3
9.29.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3136
#48
10.31.1
6.77.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0