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Qual 42015 Virginia Regional
Red35
348919.2
337314.5
31684.4
Blue0
313610.3
32749.5
336113.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34230406080100350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#14
19.20.1
14.5→14.6
Auto0.7
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
3361
#26DQ
13.62.2
8.3→6.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
3373
#29
14.50.1
11.5→11.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
3136
#48
10.32.2
8.4→6.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
3168
#63
4.40.1
7.6→7.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3274
#51
9.52.2
9.2→7.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0