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Red34
205324.8
113718.5
61110.7
Blue53
572412.0
4229.9
34224.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364801001502003453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
16.916.9
Auto0.5
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 0.1
342
#8
24.90.2
25.926.1
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
1137
#18
18.50.0
12.812.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
5724
#35
12.00.4
12.212.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
611
#55
10.70.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
422
#45
9.90.2
10.210.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0