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Qual 492015 Virginia Regional
Red54
336113.6
54030.4
34224.9
Blue15
210612.6
159814.0
428611.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52320204060801001201405415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#4
30.40.3
16.2→16.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 16.5
1598
#39
14.01.8
11.7→9.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
342
#8
24.90.2
26.1→26.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 12.3
2106
#23
12.61.8
15.8→14.1
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
3361
#26
13.60.3
8.0→8.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
4286
#38
11.81.8
8.9→7.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0