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Red123
54030.4
128727.5
115636.3
Blue46
31684.4
152221.6
154111.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681605010015012346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.35.0
26.431.5
Auto1.1
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 14.7
1522
#13
21.61.8
11.513.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
540
#4
30.45.0
16.521.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 19.2
1541
#57
11.31.8
8.210.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
27.53.0
19.622.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 23.1
3168
#63
4.41.8
4.86.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0