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Red14
173127.4
61110.7
471410.6
Blue44
527915.3
44665.9
10957.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022060801001201444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.5
19.017.5
Auto1.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 12.1
5279
#17
15.31.6
7.18.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
611
#55
10.71.5
11.910.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
1095
#58
7.41.6
8.910.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
4714
#50
10.61.5
7.66.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
4466
#61
5.91.6
9.310.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.9
End0.0