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Qual 832015 Virginia Regional
Red42
179315.7
24026.2
471410.6
Blue46
337314.5
103312.5
175817.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644060801001201401604246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#27
15.71.0
14.7→15.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
1758
#24
17.20.1
17.1→17.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
4714
#50
10.61.0
9.6→10.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3373
#29
14.50.2
13.7→13.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
2402
#56
6.21.0
5.2→6.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1033
#25
12.50.2
12.3→12.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.0
End0.0