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Red61
128727.5
38327.5
55465.5
Blue71
173127.4
33923.3
190815.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56542040801006171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#5
27.50.4
24.825.2
Auto0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
27.41.0
24.125.1
Auto1.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
27.50.3
25.926.2
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 4.2
339
#11
23.31.0
21.922.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5546
#59
5.50.4
5.15.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 9.7
1908
#31
15.21.0
12.313.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0