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Qual 92015 Virginia Regional
Red22
189519.6
210612.6
37098.9
Blue20
15996.8
335910.3
325812.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322204060801002220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#16
19.60.8
13.8→13.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 7.5
3258
#30
12.20.4
7.6→7.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
2106
#23
12.60.8
10.6→9.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
3359
#40
10.30.4
8.0→7.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
3709
#43
8.90.8
7.4→6.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 2.1
1599
#54
6.80.4
9.0→8.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0