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Semifinal pool 52015 Virginia Regional
Red118
128727.5
115636.3
190815.2
Blue124
173127.4
38327.5
34621.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74704050608090100110120118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#1
36.31.0
35.3→36.3
Auto1.1
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 8.8
383
#5
27.51.2
26.3→27.5
Auto0.3
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
1287
#2
27.50.7
26.8→27.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 0.1
1731
#7
27.41.2
26.2→27.4
Auto1.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
1908
#31
15.21.0
14.2→15.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 6.7
346
#21
21.90.8
21.1→21.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0