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Red71
36034.0
252251.4
430415.9
Blue113
446932.5
357437.9
255519.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98825015071113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.5
50.650.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
37.90.4
37.037.4
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
360
#3
34.00.5
33.232.7
Auto0.1
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 1.5
32.50.4
31.632.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
4304
#21
15.90.5
15.114.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2555
#18
19.90.4
19.019.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0