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Red70
446932.5
357437.9
255519.9
Blue82
406018.1
446125.4
30499.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904301001502007082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.3
36.336.1
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 12.5
25.40.5
24.925.4
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
32.50.3
30.930.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 14.4
4060
#19
18.10.5
17.618.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
2555
#18
19.90.3
18.318.1
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 10.4
3049
#28
9.50.5
9.09.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0