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Red80
142523.3
94839.1
378116.6
Blue77
29279.3
298018.5
32199.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85250501001502008077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#2
39.10.0
39.039.1
Auto9.2
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 20.5
2980
#10
18.50.7
17.818.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
1425
#14
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
3219
#27
9.40.7
8.79.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
3781
#17
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 7.2
2927
#23
9.30.7
8.69.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0