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Red18
446932.5
378116.6
30499.5
Blue66
298018.5
290612.9
252251.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41610501001501866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.4
25.223.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 18.9
51.40.3
34.134.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Second
3781
#17
16.61.4
11.610.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2980
#10
18.50.3
13.613.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3049
#28
9.51.4
9.07.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2906
#24
12.90.3
12.713.0
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0