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Red64
574821.0
558818.5
357437.9
Blue48
32199.4
45798.6
446125.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663202040801001201401606448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.0
30.430.5
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 12.5
25.40.8
15.216.0
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
21.00.0
15.215.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 11.6
3219
#27
9.40.8
11.912.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5588
#13
18.50.0
17.517.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 9.9
4579
#29
8.60.8
11.412.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0