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Red16
36849.7
32199.4
378613.3
Blue18
298018.5
45798.6
558818.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304401001501618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#25
13.30.9
13.412.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2980
#10
18.51.3
13.912.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
3684
#26
9.70.9
7.46.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5588
#13
18.51.3
17.616.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
3219
#27
9.40.9
12.711.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
4579
#29
8.61.3
12.110.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0