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Red104
322122.5
252251.4
446932.5
Blue30
36849.7
357437.9
255519.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7851020406010012014016010430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.7
37.338.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
37.91.4
30.028.6
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
32.51.7
23.525.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 12.6
2555
#18
19.91.4
21.019.6
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3221
#15
22.51.7
15.717.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 12.7
3684
#26
9.71.4
6.55.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.5
End0.0