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Red2
30499.5
446125.4
430415.9
Blue0
498013.3
189925.6
255519.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3555010015020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.0
14.513.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
25.62.1
13.911.8
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
4304
#21
15.91.0
12.711.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2555
#18
19.92.1
20.518.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3049
#28
9.51.0
11.910.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4980
#30
13.32.1
19.617.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0