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Red46
498013.3
298018.5
378116.6
Blue64
189925.6
322122.5
294210.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4947204060801004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#10
18.50.1
19.419.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
25.60.7
23.324.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
3781
#17
16.60.1
15.515.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
3221
#15
22.50.7
18.519.2
Auto0.7
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
4980
#30
13.30.1
13.713.6
Auto1.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
2942
#20
10.30.7
8.39.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0