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Red132
292922.4
574821.0
252251.4
Blue79
446932.5
189925.6
558818.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846805010015013279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.42.4
47.349.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 18.9
32.50.3
30.230.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
22.42.4
18.420.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 3.2
25.60.3
24.024.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
21.02.4
18.721.1
Auto0.3
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
5588
#13
18.50.3
18.318.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0