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Red118
36034.0
252251.4
430415.9
Blue78
339329.7
189925.6
36849.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10154015020011878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.3
50.150.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 21.6
3393
#11
29.70.2
29.229.4
Auto0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
360
#3
34.00.3
32.733.1
Auto0.1
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
25.60.2
25.025.3
Auto0.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
4304
#21
15.90.3
14.715.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 6.2
3684
#26
9.70.2
9.29.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.5
End0.0