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Red102
131829.4
198342.0
304911.9
Blue58
204623.9
290727.3
322117.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826305010015020010258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
41.642.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 14.7
27.30.1
27.327.3
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
29.40.3
29.129.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
2046
#10
23.90.1
23.923.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
3049
#27
11.90.3
11.511.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3221
#18
17.00.1
17.117.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.5
End0.0