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Red38
413110.2
378113.8
260525.3
Blue45
358819.9
52956.7
241215.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060703845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
10.411.2
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
3588
#15
19.91.4
12.914.4
Auto0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
3781
#19
13.80.8
9.19.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2412
#29
15.41.4
10.812.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
4131
#28
10.20.8
9.19.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
5295
#30
6.71.4
4.25.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0