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Red143
366327.1
198342.0
491124.7
Blue61
290727.3
472612.3
446922.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59360208010012014016014361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.07.1
23.630.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 14.7
27.31.7
19.821.5
Auto0.1
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
27.17.1
17.124.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
4469
#11
22.71.7
10.512.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
24.77.1
16.623.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 12.3
4726
#23
12.31.7
10.512.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0