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Red70
446922.7
321822.9
260525.3
Blue30
290615.3
358610.3
36847.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522060801001201407030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.33.0
11.214.1
Auto0.0
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 10.0
2906
#20
15.30.4
9.910.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Second
22.93.0
11.014.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 12.5
3586
#26
10.30.4
8.99.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
4469
#11
22.73.0
12.215.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 15.1
3684
#31
7.60.4
5.96.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0