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Red47
358819.9
339329.8
36019.2
Blue22
457912.8
491124.7
29276.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464101001502002503004722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.0
21.322.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 5.1
24.71.8
23.722.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
3588
#15
19.91.0
14.415.3
Auto0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
4579
#24
12.81.8
7.75.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
360
#16
19.21.0
11.612.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 12.5
2927
#32
6.71.8
11.910.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0