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Red63
321822.9
457912.8
297617.6
Blue65
204623.9
445024.0
446922.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26620501001506365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.5
14.016.5
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
24.00.5
21.622.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
2976
#17
17.62.5
12.715.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2046
#10
23.90.5
21.822.3
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4579
#24
12.82.5
5.98.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4469
#11
22.70.5
15.215.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0