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Red74
378113.8
446922.7
36847.6
Blue78
255720.5
241215.4
413110.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060801001201407478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#11
22.72.7
19.422.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
2557
#12
20.52.4
18.921.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
3781
#19
13.82.7
13.416.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2412
#29
15.42.4
13.816.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3684
#31
7.62.7
6.59.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4131
#28
10.22.4
9.712.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0