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Red54
297617.6
204623.9
323717.9
Blue18
290615.3
413110.2
366327.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303402060801001201405418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#10
23.91.9
14.516.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
27.11.4
16.114.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
3237
#13
17.91.9
5.16.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
2906
#20
15.31.4
9.27.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2976
#17
17.61.9
11.713.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 7.4
4131
#28
10.21.4
9.48.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0