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Red37
358610.3
446922.7
241215.4
Blue89
36019.2
198342.0
322013.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41700501001503789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#11
22.70.2
22.121.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 19.3
42.01.2
37.839.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
2412
#29
15.40.2
14.814.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
360
#16
19.21.2
18.119.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
3586
#26
10.30.2
10.610.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3220
#21
13.31.2
12.213.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0