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Red97
131829.4
198342.0
304911.9
Blue64
445024.0
321822.9
290615.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795601001509764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.3
40.440.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 18.0
24.00.1
23.824.0
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
29.40.3
27.928.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 6.6
22.90.1
22.722.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
3049
#27
11.90.3
10.310.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2906
#20
15.30.1
15.115.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0