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Red158
406138.3
448874.2
577918.1
Blue118
511125.2
159540.5
412518.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13669050100150200250158118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.5
74.274.6
Auto0.3
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 33.7
40.50.6
39.540.1
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
38.30.5
38.338.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
5111
#21
25.20.6
24.324.9
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5779
#23
18.10.5
18.118.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4125
#27
18.90.6
18.018.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0