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Red76
449511.1
412011.7
358833.2
Blue62
511125.2
214930.5
451322.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457301001502007662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.2
28.229.4
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 2.8
30.50.5
26.926.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
4120
#31
11.71.2
10.611.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 13.5
5111
#21
25.20.5
23.322.8
Auto0.6
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
4495
#28
11.11.2
12.613.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 11.8
4513
#19
22.90.5
21.120.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0