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Red68
408220.9
357512.4
214930.5
Blue98
159540.5
294422.9
451322.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446801001502006898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.9
26.427.3
Auto0.8
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 10.0
40.51.5
31.533.1
Auto0.2
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
4082
#13
20.90.9
16.016.9
Auto0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4513
#19
22.91.5
20.722.2
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
3575
#32
12.40.9
7.58.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 10.5
2944
#11
22.91.5
14.916.4
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0