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Red74
322317.3
37129.2
294422.9
Blue112
293044.1
358833.2
214813.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298205010015020074112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2944
#11
22.91.8
16.418.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 21.2
44.11.8
39.040.7
Auto0.7
Teleop43.4
End0.0
Second
3223
#20
17.31.8
17.319.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 15.9
33.21.8
28.430.2
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Third
3712
#30
9.21.8
5.06.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 4.5
2148
#17
13.71.8
9.511.2
Auto1.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0