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Red110
491138.8
30708.7
366343.6
Blue44
418022.4
292821.3
491823.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67380208010012014016011044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.3
27.129.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 19.8
4918
#12
23.80.0
16.516.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
38.82.3
24.726.9
Auto0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 16.4
22.40.0
10.610.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
3070
#28
8.73.8
12.916.7
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2928
#15
21.30.0
16.416.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0