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Red114
131841.1
420526.8
292821.3
Blue20
125812.4
30708.7
491823.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8642010015020011420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.6
35.637.2
Auto2.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 17.3
4918
#12
23.81.5
23.121.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
26.81.6
25.427.0
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 14.4
1258
#26
12.42.0
13.611.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
2928
#15
21.31.6
21.423.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 12.6
3070
#28
8.72.0
13.511.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0