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Red64
321821.5
366343.6
417311.9
Blue68
281118.0
574815.9
290734.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79630501001506468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.8
44.643.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
34.90.0
33.333.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
3218
#19
21.50.8
22.421.6
Auto0.9
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
2811
#14
18.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4173
#23
11.90.8
12.812.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5748
#17
15.90.0
17.417.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0