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Red23
396820.7
406017.0
382622.9
Blue106
366343.6
198365.5
29809.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51123010015020025023106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#10
22.91.8
24.823.0
Auto1.1
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 42.6
65.50.5
62.161.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
3968
#20
20.72.0
21.119.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 22.9
43.60.5
43.843.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Third
4060
#18
17.02.0
18.216.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.5
2980
#22
9.50.6
10.19.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0